With just few months away to the next general election, if we are to go by the wave of events surrounding the whole process towards 2021 that has already kicked off, it will not be so different from the previous general elections according to the sounds coming from the corridors of power.
In this Museveni era, we draw examples from the 1996,2001,2006,2011 and 2016 to determine and predict the out comes, the games political parties do prior to the election.
May be what’s different is that the man (referee) at the helm of the electoral commission was appointed by Museveni himself few years ago Justice Simon Byabakama, the number of young voters is so over whelming. Unlike the previous elections,this time round a child born in 2002 will be eligible to vote. May be to be straight there’s another new kid on the block who is determined to challenge Museveni and that’s non other than Kyadondo legislator and People Power Boss Robert Kyagulanyi Ssentamu.
I will however attribute my opinion to just a few facts stemming from failure of opposition to unite, much as whispers from the corridors of power suggest that Besigye and Bobi wine are currently holding talks to unite, this will hit a dead end as Besigye himself can’t resist his greed and support Bobi Wine because history tells it all from the Reform Agenda of 2001, the Inter-party Coalition of 2008 through to the 2011 elections to the recent The Democratic Alliance (TDA).
Therefore, the DP block have given other Political allies an ultimatum of December 2019 to negotiate and field a single presidential candidate in the 2021 elections. This is a direct focus on Besigye and Bobi Wine who are said to be negotiating. If the two fail, according to DP president and Champion of the DP block Norbert Mao, they will field a presidential candidate in 2021 who is according to me not too different from Dr Abed Bwanika.
The disorganization despite other factors gives President Museveni who is seeking to extend his reign to 40 years a clear prediction of a sure win with a big odd.
This means Bobi Wine will contest against fellow Opposition figures like Doctor Kiiza Besigye who is also determined to return in season five, a candidate from DP block preferably Dr Abed Bwanika or Norbert Mao him self then another fleet of some un-serious candidates like Engineer Joseph Mabirizi, Moureen Kyalya Walube, General Bilaro or Professor Venansius Baryamureba who will team up to spice up the race and give Museveni a swift dive into state house for more five years until 2026.
Whatever has been characterizing Uganda’s general Elections under Museveni not limited to voter bribery, intimation, suppressing of opposition candidates among others will be done like never before and it will be business as usual.
The writer is a Content Editor at Opera News